It is not clear, even to ex-president of Turkey what will the country gain from opening borders with Armenia. It is clear what US, Europe and Armenia gain, but Turkish politics of late are either very clever, one-step-ahead-of-everybody-else type politics or just plain inconsistent. I do not believe that prime minister Erdogan can be duped so easily so I prefer to think of some devilish game, which Turkey - basking in light of Obama visit- started playing.
The US tries to strengthen its positions in Caucasus at the respect of Russia, for greater geopolitical reasons (there are of course sentimental reasons for public too). Improving Turkish-Armenian relationship too early, seriously damages the positions of official Baku, because the solution of the conflict will be postponed indefinetily; this is equal to loss of Qarabagh. Our position is very simple and we want this to be taken into account.
Turkey will gain nothing from improving relations with Armenia unless the occupied territories are released. Turkey will not ever be admitted into EU, nor will it be relieved from accusations of genocide. America needs Turkey for her special position in the Muslim world and Eurasia. America and Europe need Turkey more than ever, although they hate to admit it. Turkey agrees to proceed , but it should proceed warily, knowing that at some point their path diverge. Path to Turkish greatness lies elsewhere.
There is no better choice but to stick to your guns and expand its influence to the East. There is an earnest ally there. Azerbaijan will stand by Turkey, as her faithful ally, if she projects power to the East towards Turkey's proper place as great Eurasian power. Azerbaijan has less to gain if Turkey bows to European wishes or if she becomes Middle Eastern.
The Book of Damascus
2 weeks ago
